New Agent Playbook · October 5, 2026

How Do I Get My First Real Estate Clients? The Honest 2026 Answer

It is the question every new agent asks, and most of the answers you will hear are designed to sell you something. Here is what actually works, and when a team is worth it.

Noah Goedker

Noah Goedker

Team Leader, Elevate Group at eXp Realty

Your first real estate clients come from people who already know you, not from the lead-buying ads recruiters push. Referrals from friends, family, neighbors, and past clients are how roughly 43% of buyers and 66% of sellers choose their agent, so the fastest honest path is a system that turns your existing sphere into conversations, and conversations into closings, before you spend a dollar on paid leads.

This is the single most-asked question on r/realtors and in every real estate forum, and it is asked over and over because the loudest answers are wrong for a new agent. "Buy leads," "join my team and I will feed you," "post on social," none of those is the honest first move. The data says most clients pick an agent they were referred to, and a brand-new agent has no past clients, which means the whole game in year one is your sphere of influence and the discipline to work it daily.

I will give you the honest per-channel math, tell you when buying leads makes sense, and tell you the truth about teams, including when you should not join one. I run a team, so you should read the parts that do not flatter me especially closely.

The Short Answer

Most first clients come from people who already know you, not from ads. Referrals from friends, family, and past clients are how 43% of buyers and 66% of sellers find their agent. Build your sphere, follow up daily, and run a written 90-day plan before you spend a dollar on leads.

A new agent's lakeside home office desk in central Minnesota with a smartphone, notebook, pen, and coffee beside a window overlooking a calm pine-lined lake

Why is this the question every new agent asks?

Because it is the one thing no one warns you about. The exam, the license, the brokerage, the fees, all of that is covered. Nobody tells you that a real estate license is a commission-only job where nobody hands you a client on day one. The median new agent with two years or less of experience earned about $8,100 in 2024, and most of that comes late and small. We ran the full base-rate math in is real estate worth it in 2026, and the honest answer there matters before you spend a cent on marketing.

So the question is real, and it is the highest-intent moment in a new agent's career. It is also exactly where teams and brokerages recruit hardest, because the answer "we give you leads" is the easiest pitch in the industry. That pitch is sometimes legitimate and sometimes a trap, and you need the data to tell the difference.

How do buyers and sellers actually choose their agent?

The National Association of Realtors surveys this every year, and the answer has barely moved for a decade. People pick an agent they were referred to or already worked with, overwhelmingly. Online ads and open houses are a rounding error by comparison:

How clients found their agent Buyers Sellers
Referral from a friend, neighbor, or relative 43% Referral or past client combined: 66%
Used the agent before (past client) 15% Included above
Inquired about a property online About 10% Small
Open house or direct contact About 3% Small
Social media About 1% Small

Read that table the way a new agent should: the two biggest sources, referral and past client, are the two you have almost none of on day one. You have no past clients, and you have not earned referrals yet. So the honest strategy is not "wait for referrals," it is to build the machine that produces them, starting with the people who already know you.

What are the actual channels, and which work first?

Here is the honest per-channel breakdown for a new agent in a market like the Brainerd Lakes Area. The industry ROI data ranks these by how much business they actually return per hour and dollar, and the order is not what the ads tell you:

Channel What it is The honest catch
Sphere of influence Friends, family, coworkers, neighbors, former classmates. Free, and the people who already trust you. It only works if you actually call and follow up, not post once and wait. Highest ROI, but it is a discipline, not a shortcut.
Referrals from other agents Other professionals send you clients they cannot serve. You earn these by being reliable and easy to work with, which takes time and a track record you do not have yet.
Open houses Hosting listings to meet buyers face to face. Only about 3% of clients find their agent that way, but it is cheap practice on scripts and builds your buyer database.
Door knocking and farm Working a neighborhood consistently, especially where listings are moving. Slow and high-rejection, and in Minnesota the warm season is short. Works, but it is a long game.
Online and portal leads Paid leads from Zillow, Realtor.com, and similar. Cheaper in small markets, roughly $20 to $60 a lead. Conversion is under 2%, so you can burn a thin budget fast. Only works with same-day follow-up. We ran the full math in are paid leads worth it.
Social media The most-used lead-gen technology by agents, about 39% by usage. High usage, but only about 18% of lead ROI. It is a compounding long game, not a first-client shortcut.
Cold calling Calling expired listings, FSBOs, and farm lists. About 9% of lead ROI and the highest rejection. It works only with a script and daily consistency.

The pattern is the same in every market, and it is sharper in a small seasonal one like ours. In the Brainerd Lakes Area, the buying season runs roughly April to August, lakefront and seasonal buyers drive a lot of the volume, and the window to convert attention into a closing is short. That makes consistency and speed more valuable here than almost anywhere, and it makes the "post once and wait" approach especially deadly. We wrote the working version of that in how to find consistent leads in a seasonal market.

How many conversations does it take to get a first client?

There is no honest single number, because the answer depends on your sphere, your market, and your follow-up. But the structure that produces a first client is predictable, and it is the same one that produces the tenth:

Build the list before you prospect it. Enter every person you know into a CRM in week one: family, friends, coworkers, neighbors, former classmates, the people you served in hospitality. You cannot activate a list you cannot open.

Set a conversations-per-week number, not a vague goal. A written plan with a number, conversations per week, appointments per week, agreements by day 60, beats motivation by week six. The 90-day launch plan on this site walks that exact structure.

Follow up the same day, every time. Fast follow-up is the cheapest advantage a new agent has, and the one most new agents waste. A lead that is called in an hour is worth multiples of one called tomorrow.

Expect the median, not the dream. The median Realtor closes about 9 to 10 transaction sides a year, and most first-year agents close far fewer. Your first client is a milestone, not an income. The honest benchmark is in how many deals the average agent closes.

When does paying for leads make sense for a new agent?

Almost never in year one, and here is the honest reason. Portal leads in a small market can be cheap, roughly $20 to $60 per lead versus $100-plus in a big metro, but conversion is under 2%, and a new agent without a follow-up system converts worse than that. At under 2% you need 50 to 100 leads to see one closing, and at $20 to $60 each that is $1,000 to $6,000 for one deal, on a commission-only income that may not have arrived yet.

The math changes only once you have a system that converts, which is the argument in are paid leads worth it in 2026. Referrals convert at 15% to 25% near free, so the order is not "buy leads," it is "build the referral machine first, then decide if paid volume is worth adding." If a team sells you on its lead flow, read should you trade a split for team leads before you sign, because the honest math there is that team leads typically cost 20 to 30 commission points against your own business.

What does a team's lead flow actually change for a new agent?

This is where I have to be careful, because I run one. The honest answer is that a good team changes three things for a new agent, and none of them is "the split":

A number attached to lead flow. Not "we have leads," but a real number, from a real channel, distributed on a real schedule. That is the only version worth trading a split for.

A live person who has done this exact market. A video library is not mentorship. Someone who has worked the Brainerd Lakes Area, from Baxter and Nisswa to Crosslake and Pequot Lakes, and can sit with you on a pricing call, is worth more than a bigger split.

Accountability and a shared pipeline. The single biggest difference between a team and a solo license is that someone notices when your weekly conversations drop. That accountability is what most new agents are actually missing, and it is the part no split can buy.

If that is what a team offers, it can be genuinely worth the points. But you have to verify it, and the exact questions to ask before you sign are in what questions to ask a team before joining. Get the lead numbers, the mentor's name, the split after every fee, and the exit terms in writing. A team that will not put them in writing is telling you the answer.

When should a new agent NOT join a team?

I want to be honest here, because this is the part that does not flatter me. There are new agents who should not join a team like ours, and I would tell them so. You fit the solo path if all three are true:

You have real runway. Six months of expenses covered, so you are not making decisions from a place of panic. Without it, a team's structure can be the difference between surviving and quitting.

You have a large, warm sphere. Decades in the area, a big network, people already asking you about real estate. If your sphere is genuinely deep, you may not need to pay for lead flow.

You are disciplined enough to run the system solo. You will write the plan, make the calls, and follow up without anyone checking. Most people overestimate this, honestly, but some genuinely have it.

If that is you, a high-split or flat-fee arrangement may genuinely be smarter, and you should go run it. If it is not you, and most new agents are not, then a team's structure and accountability are worth more than the split you give up. The full structural decision, with the honest math on both sides, is in should you join a team or go solo, and the team vs solo calculator models it with your own numbers.

Why we do it differently at Elevate Group

At Elevate Group we run inside eXp Realty, and I will put our own model on the record the same way I just told you to vet anyone else. eXp's compensation is a capped commission plan with revenue share on top, on a national tech platform, and the team adds its own local lead flow, weekly coaching, and transaction coordination. The honest inside of our pitch is that the split is not the first number, the cap and the coaching are, and the number we want from you is your real volume.

What we do not promise is that we will call your mother for you. Every agent, team or not, still has to build their own sphere and make their own calls. What we add is the structure around it: a number for the leads, a live mentor who knows the Brainerd Lakes Area, and someone who notices when your weekly conversations drop. If that is what you need, there is a conversation worth having. If you are the disciplined agent with deep runway and a warm sphere, go build it solo, and go do it well. That is how we want you to decide, not how we recruit.

Decide With These Three Questions

1. What is your sphere, and have you written it down? If you cannot open a list of 100 people you know right now, that is the first problem, and no team fixes it for you.

2. What is your conversations-per-week number? A written number you will hit, reviewed weekly, is the entire difference between a plan and a hope.

3. What does the lead flow you are being offered actually include? A real number, a channel, and a schedule, in writing, or it is not lead flow, it is a slogan.

Two reads in this library fit right after this one. What should a new agent do first covers the first-90-days sequence and the brokerage decision this article builds on, and going from part-time to full-time is the honest transition for the agent earning their first clients while holding a day job.

The honest bottom line: your first clients come from people who already know you, worked consistently and followed up fast, and no lead-buying shortcut replaces that. Build the sphere, run the plan, and only then decide whether a team's structure and lead flow are worth the points. If a recruiter will not put their lead numbers and their mentor's name in writing, treat that as the answer it is.

Noah Goedker

Noah Goedker

Team Leader, Elevate Group at eXp Realty

Noah Goedker is a lifelong resident of the Brainerd Lakes Area and third-generation real estate agent who runs Elevate Group inside eXp Realty. He built the team around one rule agents can hold him to: show the real numbers, net income, fees, caps, and closes, and let the agent decide.

Decide With Your Numbers, Not Ours

Run the plan, then decide.

The 90-day launch plan works without ever talking to us. If the structure and lead flow still point to a conversation, a confidential talk costs you nothing and commits you to nothing.